starting lineup foxwoods resort casino 301

There's even a slight edge in betting him at +600 (14.3% implied), but if you can get him at +900, why bother? That's just a smidge higher than his implied odds at 10.0%. But getting him at +900 at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the biggest edge we've gotten all year.Īs mentioned, Hamlin is the most likely winner in my simulations, getting the checkered flag 17.1% of the time. I could definitely justify betting Hamlin at +600, and I can understand why he's shorter than +500 elsewhere. He's +475 at DraftKings and +600 at William Hill.

Perhaps the true value is the friends we made along the way.)Īt FoxBet, Denny Hamlin is the favorite to win at +450. (UPDATE to the UPDATE: Hamlin's now +450, which is 18.2% implied win odds. That is still longer than his odds at other books and shy of his 17.1% win odds in my simulations, so I'm still on board at the new number.) (UPDATE: Since publication, Hamlin has shifted to +650 to win at FanDuel, which is 13.3% implied odds. And we should lock that puppy in now before the market corrects. The most likely winner in my simulations comes at a massive discount at NASCAR odds relative to other shops. You can't build a house on good lines alone.įor this week's race, we can have our cake and eat it, too. Value is great, but if the driver can't get the job done, it doesn't actually matter. The complicating factor is that we also have to make sure that driver can actually win. But in NASCAR, the difference between +800 and +900 is massive. In the NFL, you're not going to get massive deviations between books because markets are bet so heavily. We've currently got a sports bettor's dream going down for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 in New Hampshire.Īs a rule of thumb, it's always important to shop for the best line.

Starting lineup foxwoods resort casino 301